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Inflation news gathered from trusted sources: consumer and producer price data, wage growth and inflation expectations

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Oil Prices Climb Again as Middle East Supply Risks Keep Markets on Edge

Inflation

September 29, World (LNW): International crude prices moved higher for a second consecutive trading session on Tuesday as uncertainty surrounding oil supplies from the Middle East continued to overshadow signs of a gradual recovery in regional exports. Brent crude futures gained $1.49, or 1.4 per cent, to reach $106.77 a barrel by 3.26 a.m. GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate rose $1.34, or 1.5 per cent, to $93.94. Both benchmarks had already posted gains of almost $1 a barrel during the previous session. Market analysts said concerns over the reliability of supply routes were keeping prices elevated despite evidence that more crude was reaching international buyers. KCM Trade chief analyst Tim Waterer said exports from the Gulf appeared to be recovering, although some shipments were being handled through alternative arrangements such as transfers between vessels. Such methods can increase both costs and logistical complications compared with conventional exports, he noted. Preliminary figures from data provider Kpler showed crude shipments from major Middle Eastern producers reaching 12.8 million barrels a day in September, the highest monthly level since February.

5 days ago
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Oil rises above $106, but crude is no longer the market’s biggest shortage

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Oil prices climbed on Monday after US President Donald Trump rejected an Iranian proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, restoring some geopolitical premium to both Brent and West Texas Intermediate. Brent crude rose about 1.5% to $106 a barrel in Asian trading, while WTI gained roughly 1.1% to $93.40. The move reflected renewed concern over Middle East supply routes, but the more important shortage is increasingly further down the barrel: diesel and refining capacity remain considerably tighter than crude itself. That distinction matters for inflation. Middle East crude flows are recovering, while refiners are still struggling to replace lost diesel supply from the Gulf and Russia. That leaves freight, agriculture and industrial fuel costs unusually vulnerable to any fresh…

6 days ago
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OECD lifts 2026 global growth forecast to 2.9% despite Mideast war

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PARIS: Economic growth has remained “resilient” in many countries despite the war in the Middle East, the OECD said Wednesday as it slightly raised its GDP forecasts for the year. Global economic growth is now seen at 2.9 percent, a 0.1-point increase from estimates in June by the Paris-based group of 38 industrialised countries. Even though energy prices have soared since the United States and Israel launched strikes against Iran last February, the OECD noted that “broader financial conditions remain supportive”, as seen in rising equity markets and continued access to credit. “Sizeable oil inventories, additional supply from outside the Gulf economies and discretionary government support measures all helped to cushion the impact on the global economy,” the group said in its quarterly update. It also cited the massive investments in artificial intelligence and the resulting boost to production and trade, which could result in “stronger growth than projected”. AEOI: OECD team undertakes onsite assessment But global growth has slowed sharply from the 3.4 percent chalked up last year, and the group trimmed its 2027 growth forecast by 0.1 percentage point, to three percent.

11 days ago
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Gulf-Eurasian energy crunch pushes Europe to the edge of an inflationary crisis

Inflation

Gulf-Eurasian energy crunch pushes Europe to the edge of an inflationary crisis Submitted by Ilya Roubanis on Fri, 09/18/2026 - 17:18 Europe will be counting on luck as much as policy to face a mounting energy crisis fuelled by wars in Iran and Russia-Ukraine This photograph taken from Port-de-Bouc, southern France shows oil tankers in Martigues, on 25 March 2026 (Elodie Clement/AFP) Off Europe’s oil and gas supply is now disrupted by conflicts in both the Gulf and Eurasia. On Friday, Saudi Arabia told European refineries to not expect any crude oil deliveries next month. The continent will need as much good fortune as foresightful policy to withstand the evolving energy crisis. Conflicts on the periphery of the European Union, the Eastern Mediterranean, the Red Sea, the Straits of Hormuz, the Black and Caspian Seas have made it clear that Europe is not able to secure critical energy value chains. With shallow infrastructure in terms of strategic reserves for oil and gas, a dependence on spot markets, and increasingly volatile weather, Europe needs luck.

16 days ago
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