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Inflation news gathered from trusted sources: consumer and producer price data, wage growth and inflation expectations

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Eurozone inflation hits 3-year high of 3.8% in September

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Eurozone annual inflation is expected to rise to 3.8 percent in September from 3.2 percent in August, reaching its highest level since September 2023, according to a flash estimate released Friday by Eurostat, reported Xinhua. Eurozone inflation stood at 2.8 percent in June before rising to 2.9 percent in July and 3.2 percent in August. The September data marked three consecutive months of acceleration. Among the main components, energy is expected to record the highest annual rate in September at 18.8 percent, up from 14.3 percent in August. Services inflation is forecast to pick up to 3.2 percent from 3.0 percent, and food, alcohol and tobacco inflation to 1.4 percent from 1.1 percent. Inflation for non-energy industrial goods, however, is expected to ease to 1.1 percent from 1.2 percent. Core inflation, which excludes energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, is expected to edge up to 2.5 percent in September from 2.4 percent in August. Inflation also accelerated in four of the eurozone's largest economies, with Germany's climbing to 3.3 percent from 2.9 percent, France's rising to 3.4 percent from 2.6 percent, Italy's up to 4.1 percent from 3.2 percent, and Spain's to 5.0 percent from 4.6 percent.

2 days ago
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European Stocks Extend Gains

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European stocks extended their advance on Friday, with the STOXX 50 up 1.1% and the STOXX 600 rising 0.9%, buoyed by lower oil prices and declining government bond yields. According to Reuters, EU member states discussed a French proposal to release diesel reserves. Brent crude subsequently dropped toward $99 a barrel, helping to ease inflationary pressures and drive sovereign yields lower, including French yields, which had been under strain amid concerns about the country’s political and fiscal outlook. Technology shares led the gains, while retailers, industrials and chemical companies also moved higher. Among notable movers, ASML Holding climbed 2.4%, Siemens added 1.1% and Inditex advanced 2.2%. Infineon (5.9%), Thyssenkrupp (4.5%) and Stellantis (4.1%) were among the top performers on the STOXX 600, whereas Sanofi was the biggest decliner, slipping 3.2%. Despite Friday’s rebound, the STOXX 50 is still down 2.0% for the week, and the STOXX 600 has lost 1.9%, putting both indices on track for their weakest weekly performance since April.

2 days ago
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German Bund Yields Ease as Bond Selloff Pauses

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Germany’s 10-year Bund yield extended its retreat below 3.45% after recently hitting a 17-year high, as the sharp selloff in European government bonds paused and investors balanced renewed demand for safe-haven assets against expectations of further ECB rate hikes through 2027. French government bond yields hovered near their highest levels in more than two decades amid persistent concerns over the country’s public finances, while mounting political uncertainty ahead of the 2027 elections in both France and Italy further intensified fiscal worries. At the same time, investors assessed stronger-than-expected Eurozone inflation data: headline inflation accelerated to 3.8% last month, the highest reading since September 2023 and well above the ECB’s 2% target, driven mainly by higher fuel costs. ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel said the coming months would be crucial for evaluating the impact of the latest energy shock and determining how far interest rates still need to rise, signaling a cautious and data-dependent stance.

2 days ago
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France’s Bond Crisis Deepens, US Jobs Data on Deck

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France’s Bond Crisis Deepens, US Jobs Data on Deck A selloff in global debt has fueled a rout that’s hitting harder and faster in France than anyone expected, with nerves fraying about missed deficit targets and policy gridlock. The US jobs report is set be a macro highlight at a time when resilient data are supporting riskier assets while giving the Federal Reserve room to tighten policy to fight inflation. Economists estimate the reading will show nonfarm payrolls rose 90,000 last month after climbing in August by the most since March. The Opening Trade has everything you need to know as markets open across Europe. With analysis you won't find anywhere else, we break down the biggest stories of the day and speak to top guests who have skin in the game. Hosted by Anna Edwards, Guy Johnson and Tom Mackenzie. Chapters: 00:00:00 - The Opening Trade 00:00:57 - Market Check 00:02:06 - French Bond Risk Spillover 00:05:36 - US Deploying 10,000 Troops to Persian Gulf 00:07:29 - Anthropic Targets Mid-November Mega IPO 00:12:24 - France Vs.

2 days ago
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Is the German-French Bond Spread Becoming a Eurozone Nightmare? Here Are the Latest Details

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European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel has dismissed speculation that the central bank would intervene to rescue the French government bond market, which is currently facing intense selling pressure. Speaking on Thursday, Nagel emphasized that the ECB’s emergency asset-purchase instruments were designed specifically to safeguard price stability and the monetary policy transmission mechanism, rather than to manipulate or target specific sovereign bond yield spreads for any country. This firm statement follows market rumors regarding the potential activation of the Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI)—a special mechanism allowing the ECB to purchase bonds from stressed member states, provided those nations maintain sound fiscal discipline. Addressing the issue, Nagel noted that while the ECB possesses various liquidity tools, they are not activated simply because a country's yield spread widens; he declined to comment directly on France's specific debt metrics.

3 days ago
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Impact of Escalating US-Iran Conflict: Is Europe Facing Rising Inflationary Pressure?

Interest RatesInflation

Inflationary pressures across major Eurozone economies surged much faster than expected in September, driven by a shock spike in global energy prices resulting from the ongoing conflict involving Iran. This development places the European Central Bank (ECB) under significant pressure to continue its interest rate hike cycle, following the Frankfurt-based institution's two previous rounds of borrowing cost increases last summer aimed at curbing rising prices. Preliminary data released on Wednesday showed France's annual inflation rate jumping significantly to 3.4% from 2.6% in August, while Italy saw a sharp rise to 4.1% from 3.2%. Spain recorded the highest reading among major economies at 5.0%, and Germany also exceeded projections, reaching 3.3%. All these national figures far surpassed the ECB's official price stability target of 2.0%, driven by surging costs for diesel, petrol, and natural gas. J.P. Morgan analyst Mariana Monteiro noted that energy sector inflation had surprised markets on the upside across all key member states.

3 days ago
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